Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.199316 0.231236 0.268532 0.315816 0.374868 0.447144 0.543817
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.164392 0.208200 0.266041 0.350338 0.474297 0.657403 0.964453
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.137236 0.185201 0.254573 0.367479 0.558210 0.893354 1.602526
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.116319 0.164504 0.239164 0.371777 0.623449 1.140849 2.525007
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.099753 0.146131 0.221878 0.366091 0.667640 1.380596 3.787095
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.090126 0.136473 0.216073 0.378364 0.753377 1.787561 6.444202
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.079790 0.123679 0.201820 0.369366 0.787297 2.093789 9.771039
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073193 0.116171 0.195564 0.375027 0.861497 2.619081 17.322205
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.066712 0.107862 0.186125 0.370745 0.907205 3.111265 29.762758
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.062470 0.103032 0.182652 0.379562 0.999108 3.976619 66.298762
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.059277 0.099711 0.181633 0.394281 1.122337 5.309092 208.616620
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055790 0.095358 0.177630 0.399998 1.219096 6.789524 887.681268
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.052892 0.091910 0.175259 0.410431 1.349213 9.146968 23297.695197
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050174 0.088521 0.172513 0.419317 1.485220 12.456479 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047576 0.085084 0.169115 0.425401 1.618133 16.977639 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.044892 0.081177 0.163983 0.424490 1.717201 22.283534 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.042099 0.076760 0.156971 0.415357 1.763613 27.446669 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.040593 0.074996 0.156404 0.428918 1.975478 43.189980 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.038200 0.071041 0.149632 0.417919 2.009088 53.651633 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036709 0.068978 0.147583 0.424445 2.189471 84.502939 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034912 0.066066 0.142877 0.419338 2.274614 118.425340 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.033797 0.064623 0.142002 0.429709 2.519885 226.319086 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.032970 0.063774 0.142673 0.447082 2.876182 596.204175 NaN